Hello Mekalb, could you please indicate which rules I violated, and not just reject my run.
I will not communicate with you personally, only publicly.
I thought a lot about what happened, and I think the situation in which we now is partly my fault. About two years ago, in my discord channel, I did an analysis of Bender's runs. I did not hide this from anyone, moreover, I said Bender about it before posting this information. However, my actions led to separation of the community. I can write whatever I want in my discord, but, my actions led to very bad consequences. I think it would be appropriate to release all my calculations to the public. I'm not accusing Bender of cheating, you just need to understand what the term "lucky" means.
I am not a mathematician, there may be errors in the calculations
Example 1
In this example, I took ALL of Benedr's runs that he did to get WR in the p1 hell necromancer category. I've noticed before that the Io rune falls very often on him. This time I decided to record all his races and make a calculation.
From the video it can be seen that in total for all his runs he killed 45 countess and get 5 runes of Io Let's take the probability of dropping the Io rune as 1 in 25.3
https://maxroll.gg/d2/d2-drop-calculator#d1;monster=super,6
I did my calculations with this calculator
https://portal.tpu.ru/SHARED/k/KONVAL/Sites/Russian_sites/calc_set/01-4.htm#
Binomial probability distribution in 45 trials: (probability of success in one trial p = 0.0395256916996047 )
P( 0) = 0.16287666 , P( 1) = 0.30162345 , P( 2) = 0.27307473 , P( 3) = 0.16107288 , P( 4) = 0.06959939 , P( 5) = 0.02348622 ,
Probability of no more than 5 successes = 0.9917333277255272 Probability of at least 5 successes = 0.03175288758291306
Poisson distribution: λ = np = 1.7786561264822116
P( 0) = 0.16886493 , P( 1) = 0.30035264 , P( 2) = 0.26711203 , P( 3) = 0.15836682 , P( 4) = 0.07042003 , P( 5) = 0.02505060 ,
Probability of no more than 5 successes = 0.990167043102967 Probability of at least 5 successes = 0.03488355941617827
Gaussian distribution: σ = (n p q)½ = 1.3070399813269915, ξ = m – n p = 3.2213438735177884
P( 0) = 0.12091959 , P( 1) = 0.25559613 , P( 2) = 0.30088028 , P( 3) = 0.19724909 , P( 4) = 0.07201420 , P( 5) = 0.01464209 ,
Probability of no more than 5 successes = 0.9613013889345298 Probability of at least 5 successes = 0.05334070274441949
As a result, we see that the probability of dropping 5 Io runes in 45 runs is approximately 1.5 - 3%. It should also be taken into account that Io runes alone are not enough, for 45 runs he also got 5 dol.
Example 2
11 runs 2 amn 1 Thul 1 Ort
https://maxroll.gg/d2/d2-drop-calculator#d0;monster=super,27
Amn 1:1218 Thul 1:409 Orth 1:272
The recording isn't the best quality, but it's the biggest system glitch I've ever seen on a Bender stream. Calculating the probability here does not make sense, it is impossible. Bender decided to try a new strategy for n1 Barb - farm travincal. If you watch his PB (https://www.speedrun.com/d2lod/run/zgg5xw0z) you will see the usual strategy - farming sarine. Record does not contain the end of this run - so the rest of the information is just my words with no evidence. After he get 2 amn runes, he just finished the stream, without trying to somehow finish this run.
I'm not going to draw any conclusions - I'm just posting information that I posted on my discord.
Again, this is my discord and I can write whatever I want in it, but having comprehended all that happened, it seems to me that I made a mistake to "hide" it.
Hi. Some of the co-ops I approved contain incomplete videos. Usually one of the participants lacks the last 5-10 seconds to kill a baal. Since there are other records that clearly show the time of baal kill, I think its ok to verify runs like this. In this post, I just point out the existing discrepancy with the rules and practice of verification. If your views diffrent from mine, you can write your opinion here. If solo speedrun got lacks of video then it will still be rejected.
https://www.speedrun.com/rules
• The game itself must not be altered or controlled with outside tools. Exceptions can be made on a community basis (e.g., character creation scripts, logo/cutscene removal dlls, etc.)
Please, change the Rules and be more public when you are doing things like this.
- Can I submit hc run for as hc and as sc?
If I
ve got HC run with better time, then SC, can I submit it at both, cuz HC rules are same with SC, and there is no reason to grind SC too, for another "achivment" at speedrun.com? 2)Can I make pause when I
m speedrunning? Some runs are going more, then 8 hours, is it possible to have a break at this runs, whats rules do you have for that, can I pause at 6 hours run, 4 hours, 1 hour?
There is no normal runs at speedrun.com for now
There is 100% montage at 50.747-50.813 https://imgur.com/a/Vks9OpZ https://imgur.com/a/71lJ7fl https://imgur.com/a/CG9oyuc https://imgur.com/a/ZYg4xob
First of all, Im sorry for english, I
m not living in english speaking contry, I didn`t learn english at the school, and I had no practice with it.
So this is my run
It`s AMA any% norm SC 2-25. Nothing very special, but this run was rejected. This is the rules of diablo 2 speedrun: "Must NOT use a pre-generated map Must NOT use any modification of the game This is a 'Real Time Attack' run: The usage of "Safe and Exit" is allowed Timer starts on characher creation and ends when Baal dies Must be done on softcore Must be done on /players 1" And this is reason, why run was rejected "please highlight your run and don't submit an entire VOD"
- There is no rule about highlight
- "entire VOD" was 2-33, and the run was 2-25. There is only 8 minutes of the VOD don't include the run.
- Menu help on speedrun.com said: "My game request got rejected Probably for good reason, for more info contact one of the Full Moderators", but there is no way how to connect with them. I do not use discord, twitter. There is no mail. Yes they have a twith acc, so am I, but i think it isn`t a right way to connect with them. So I have 2 questions:
- If I
m not right, what rule i didn
t follow? - If I
m right, what should I do? And yes, I don
t wanna make highlight 2-25 of 2-33 video, this is ridiculous.