Round 1
Load 1 - Target yourself twice, shoot dealer (33.3%)
Load 2 - Shoot Dealer first turn (60%)
Round 2
Load 1 - Get items beer and knife, drink beer, use knife, shoot dealer (2%)
Load 2 - Get Knife + any other item, use knife, shoot dealer first turn (10%)
Round 3
Load 1 - Get Knife + 2 beers + Handcuffs, Drink Both Beers, Use Knife, Shoot Dealer (0.16%)
Load 2 - Get Knife + Any other 3 items, Use Handcuffs, Use Knife, Shoot Dealer in both turns (4.3%)
Chance Of Happening 2.74924800^-8
(I think)
Let me know if I got any math wrong
I figured the ideal round 1 load 1 lets you do self, self, dealer, (blank, blank, live) because that keeps it on your turn. that’s what i went for in my run
Is shooting yourself faster than the dealer shooting himself or you? Edit: that's a dumb question of course there is time the animations take
I feel like it is, since you can pre aim your cursor and it can take him a few seconds to make decisions
My thoughts on safer potential items to get round two/three being cuffs and glass. They do take a bit of time but are a lot less chance heavy than the beer strat.